I predict France will respond to the new U.S.-Australian nuclear submarine deal by blocking American travelers from Metropolitan France, under the guise of rising coronavirus numbers in the United States.
Will France Ban U.S. Citizens Over “Coronavirus” Concerns (i.e. Revenge)?
I’ve never seen France so angry at the United States, even when George W. Bush snubbed Jaques Chirac and invaded Iraq in 2003. Earlier this week, Australia blindsided France by cancelling a $90 billion order for conventional submarines, pivoting to a new deal involving the United States and Great Britain to build nuclear-powered submarines with top secret design details provided by the USA. The move is geared toward countering the People’s Republic of China, which has become increasingly aggressive in its claims over the Republic of China (also known as Taiwan) and the South China Sea, as well as its rule over Hong Kong.
But the loser of the deal is France. France may extract penalty and cancellations fees, but it will not only lose money, but lose prestige through this order cancellation.
And as a result, President Emmanuel Macron is livid. He has blasted the deal as a slap in the face to France and particularly condemned that it was orchestrated in secrecy and announced without providing France, America’s oldest ally, prior notice.
The French Ambassadors to the USA and Australia have been recalled and Gérard Araud, a former French ambassador said:
“The world is a jungle. France has just been reminded of this bitter truth by the way the US and the UK have stabbed her in the back in Australia.”
Under that banner of controversy, I predict France will announce next week that American tourists will no longer be welcome in Metropolitan France (European France), even if vaccinated. It would be a bold move but a silly one, considering Americans are spending millions of Euros supporting local business.
Nevertheless, the French are a proud people and Macron, who will be the new de facto leader of Europe after German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s departure from office later this month after four terms, has expressed a level of anger that has taken many by surprise.
I would love nothing more than to be proven flat-out wrong on this prediction, but I do think we will see some travel restrictions introduced next week in a move that will ostensibly be unrelated but tacitly meant to be retaliation for the nuclear submarine deal.